Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 22.042449 25.379361 28.973791 33.124105 37.774391 42.814310 48.679656
2025-10-12 17.226527 22.075215 27.774840 34.921656 43.591694 53.714510 66.368782
2025-10-19 13.777216 19.238091 26.116259 35.307484 47.145521 61.746433 80.965893
2025-10-26 11.360282 17.076029 24.709022 35.462777 50.006249 68.750185 94.449617
2025-11-02 9.388574 15.096574 23.133708 35.002347 51.754687 74.180483 106.015036
2025-11-09 7.823290 13.401020 21.650419 34.368004 53.023789 78.855418 116.663449
2025-11-16 6.551411 11.923230 20.247152 33.606215 53.912276 82.908506 126.537035
2025-11-23 5.402057 10.444769 18.627328 32.285000 53.768499 85.360234 134.150773
2025-11-30 4.926523 10.015342 18.591332 33.368726 57.261500 93.225918 149.924711
2025-12-07 4.521776 9.643578 18.590278 34.473286 60.817501 101.333520 166.421884
2025-12-14 3.891727 8.756348 17.598246 33.817022 61.474015 105.005236 176.360350
2025-12-21 3.326455 7.900270 16.550781 32.940293 61.657508 107.885702 185.148987
2025-12-28 3.190545 7.922299 17.166674 35.145200 67.338932 120.098552 209.643099
2026-01-04 3.000650 7.810687 17.534239 36.966823 72.555078 131.958519 234.373493
2026-01-11 2.675645 7.346056 17.155275 37.360265 75.288729 139.880556 253.154069
2026-01-18 2.371417 6.870383 16.687375 37.521311 77.588753 147.167106 271.212605
2026-01-25 2.053385 6.297516 15.936905 37.037700 78.641304 152.340255 285.948331
2026-02-01 1.766393 5.741661 15.143453 36.371746 79.272046 156.771346 299.586695
2026-02-08 1.511051 5.212388 14.332187 35.571939 79.558022 160.565752 312.256423
2026-02-15 1.257298 4.626644 13.302232 34.184502 78.559158 161.947654 320.719581
2026-02-22 1.176014 4.527209 13.422674 35.322573 82.680874 172.895440 346.596137
2026-03-01 1.102318 4.435640 13.549765 36.482260 86.913359 184.238371 373.634988
2026-03-08 0.950799 4.059685 12.900923 35.793274 87.251825 188.249720 387.516973